Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →14.3%
Reading
21.1%
Draw
64.6%
Coventry
Expected Goals (xG)
0.93
Reading
vs
2.15
Coventry
Markets
BTTS54.1%
Over 0.594.6%
Over 1.581.9%
Over 2.559.3%
Over 3.536.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-2
10.7%
1-1
10.0%
1-2
9.9%
0-1
9.2%
0-3
7.6%
1-3
7.1%
0-0
5.4%
2-2
4.6%
2-1
4.3%
0-4
4.1%
1-4
3.8%
1-0
3.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).