Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →17.3%
Lecco
27.7%
Draw
55.1%
Sudtirol
Expected Goals (xG)
0.77
Lecco
vs
1.57
Sudtirol
Markets
BTTS43.8%
Over 0.589.2%
Over 1.569.0%
Over 2.541.5%
Over 3.520.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
13.9%
1-1
12.8%
0-2
11.8%
0-0
10.8%
1-2
9.1%
1-0
6.3%
0-3
6.2%
1-3
4.8%
2-1
4.5%
2-2
3.5%
2-0
2.9%
0-4
2.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).