Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →12.2%
Ingolstadt
21.5%
Draw
66.3%
St Pauli
Expected Goals (xG)
0.78
Ingolstadt
vs
2.07
St Pauli
Markets
BTTS48.4%
Over 0.593.3%
Over 1.578.7%
Over 2.554.3%
Over 3.532.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-2
12.3%
0-1
11.0%
1-1
10.3%
1-2
9.7%
0-3
8.5%
1-3
6.7%
0-0
6.7%
0-4
4.4%
2-2
3.8%
2-1
3.7%
1-0
3.6%
1-4
3.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).