Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →62.0%
Coventry
21.9%
Draw
16.2%
Shrewsbury
Expected Goals (xG)
1.69
Coventry
vs
0.70
Shrewsbury
Markets
BTTS40.3%
Over 0.591.7%
Over 1.568.0%
Over 2.542.8%
Over 3.521.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
16.4%
2-0
13.0%
1-1
10.0%
2-1
9.2%
0-0
8.3%
0-1
7.4%
3-0
7.3%
3-1
5.2%
1-2
3.8%
2-2
3.2%
4-0
3.1%
0-2
2.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).