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23 Dec 2022 · 19:45

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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65.8%
Falkirk
19.4%
Draw
14.8%
Queen of Sth

Expected Goals (xG)

2.35

Falkirk

vs
1.05

Queen of Sth

Markets

BTTS59.3%
Over 0.596.1%
Over 1.585.8%
Over 2.566.0%
Over 3.544.1%

Most Likely Scorelines

2-1
9.7%
2-0
9.2%
1-1
8.8%
3-1
7.6%
1-0
7.3%
3-0
7.2%
2-2
5.1%
4-1
4.5%
1-2
4.3%
4-0
4.3%
3-2
4.0%
0-0
3.9%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).