Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →54.7%
Southampton
22.7%
Draw
22.6%
Hull
Expected Goals (xG)
2.07
Southampton
vs
1.29
Hull
Markets
BTTS64.0%
Over 0.595.7%
Over 1.585.6%
Over 2.565.2%
Over 3.543.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
10.1%
2-1
9.6%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
6.6%
1-0
6.4%
2-2
6.2%
1-2
6.0%
3-0
5.2%
3-2
4.3%
0-0
4.3%
0-1
3.7%
4-1
3.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).