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DHT: 21CSV

19 Dec 2021 · 12:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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56.7%
Karlsruhe
24.6%
Draw
18.7%
Hansa Rostock

Expected Goals (xG)

1.86

Karlsruhe

vs
0.99

Hansa Rostock

Markets

BTTS53.9%
Over 0.593.1%
Over 1.578.7%
Over 2.554.1%
Over 3.531.8%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
11.7%
2-0
10.0%
2-1
9.9%
1-0
9.8%
0-0
6.9%
3-0
6.2%
3-1
6.1%
1-2
5.3%
2-2
4.9%
0-1
4.7%
3-2
3.0%
4-0
2.9%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).