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15 Mar 2026 · 14:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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40.5%
Strasbourg
23.4%
Draw
36.1%
Paris SG

Expected Goals (xG)

1.50

Strasbourg

vs
1.40

Paris SG

Markets

BTTS58.0%
Over 0.595.2%
Over 1.578.0%
Over 2.555.5%
Over 3.533.1%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
10.9%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
8.7%
0-1
8.3%
1-2
8.1%
2-0
6.2%
2-2
6.1%
0-2
5.4%
0-0
4.8%
3-1
4.3%
1-3
3.8%
3-0
3.1%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).