Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →25.5%
Oxford City
28.4%
Draw
46.1%
Hartlepool
Expected Goals (xG)
1.02
Oxford City
vs
1.46
Hartlepool
Markets
BTTS50.3%
Over 0.590.6%
Over 1.572.0%
Over 2.545.2%
Over 3.523.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.5%
0-1
11.1%
0-0
9.4%
1-2
9.1%
0-2
8.9%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
6.4%
2-2
4.7%
1-3
4.4%
2-0
4.4%
0-3
4.3%
2-3
2.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).