Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →37.3%
Barnsley
34.7%
Draw
28.0%
Wigan
Expected Goals (xG)
1.00
Barnsley
vs
0.83
Wigan
Markets
BTTS36.6%
Over 0.582.7%
Over 1.555.5%
Over 2.527.5%
Over 3.511.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-0
17.3%
1-0
15.0%
1-1
14.4%
0-1
12.2%
2-0
8.0%
2-1
6.6%
0-2
5.5%
1-2
5.5%
2-2
2.7%
3-0
2.7%
3-1
2.2%
0-3
1.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).