Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →38.6%
Avellino
29.1%
Draw
32.3%
Cesena
Expected Goals (xG)
1.34
Avellino
vs
1.21
Cesena
Markets
BTTS53.1%
Over 0.591.0%
Over 1.573.6%
Over 2.547.0%
Over 3.525.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.9%
1-0
9.2%
0-0
9.0%
2-1
8.5%
0-1
8.2%
1-2
7.6%
2-0
7.0%
0-2
5.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-1
3.8%
3-0
3.2%
1-3
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).