Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →26.8%
Manchester City
18.9%
Draw
54.4%
Chippenham Town
Expected Goals (xG)
1.68
Manchester City
vs
2.42
Chippenham Town
Markets
BTTS73.9%
Over 0.598.6%
Over 1.591.3%
Over 2.577.6%
Over 3.558.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-2
8.2%
2-2
6.9%
1-3
6.6%
1-1
6.5%
2-1
5.7%
2-3
5.5%
0-2
4.9%
0-1
4.2%
1-4
4.0%
0-3
3.9%
3-2
3.8%
2-4
3.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).