Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →56.8%
Raków Częstochowa
24.8%
Draw
18.4%
Motor Lublin
Expected Goals (xG)
1.81
Raków Częstochowa
vs
0.94
Motor Lublin
Markets
BTTS52.0%
Over 0.592.7%
Over 1.577.0%
Over 2.551.9%
Over 3.529.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.8%
1-0
10.6%
2-0
10.4%
2-1
9.8%
0-0
7.3%
3-0
6.3%
3-1
5.9%
1-2
5.1%
0-1
5.1%
2-2
4.6%
4-0
2.9%
0-2
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).