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18 Apr 2026 · 00:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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34.9%
Legia Warszawa
29.3%
Draw
35.8%
Zagłębie Lubin

Expected Goals (xG)

1.23

Legia Warszawa

vs
1.25

Zagłębie Lubin

Markets

BTTS51.6%
Over 0.590.5%
Over 1.572.0%
Over 2.545.1%
Over 3.523.8%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
14.0%
0-0
9.5%
0-1
9.3%
1-0
9.2%
1-2
8.0%
2-1
7.9%
0-2
6.5%
2-0
6.3%
2-2
5.0%
1-3
3.4%
3-1
3.3%
0-3
2.7%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).