Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →14.7%
Reggiana
25.3%
Draw
60.0%
Monza
Expected Goals (xG)
0.75
Reggiana
vs
1.75
Monza
Markets
BTTS44.8%
Over 0.590.7%
Over 1.572.4%
Over 2.545.7%
Over 3.524.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
13.2%
0-2
12.5%
1-1
11.9%
1-2
9.4%
0-0
9.3%
0-3
7.3%
1-3
5.5%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
4.1%
2-2
3.6%
0-4
3.2%
1-4
2.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).