Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →41.3%
Wealdstone
27.1%
Draw
31.6%
Tamworth
Expected Goals (xG)
1.51
Wealdstone
vs
1.29
Tamworth
Markets
BTTS57.5%
Over 0.592.9%
Over 1.577.9%
Over 2.553.1%
Over 3.530.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.8%
2-1
8.9%
1-0
8.2%
1-2
7.7%
0-0
7.1%
2-0
6.9%
0-1
6.9%
2-2
5.8%
0-2
5.1%
3-1
4.5%
3-0
3.5%
1-3
3.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).