Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →83.9%
Liverpool
11.9%
Draw
4.2%
Southampton
Expected Goals (xG)
3.01
Liverpool
vs
0.63
Southampton
Markets
BTTS45.1%
Over 0.596.7%
Over 1.588.5%
Over 2.570.4%
Over 3.549.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0
11.9%
2-0
11.9%
4-0
9.0%
3-1
7.5%
2-1
7.5%
1-0
7.2%
1-1
5.7%
4-1
5.7%
5-0
5.4%
5-1
3.4%
0-0
3.3%
3-2
2.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).