Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →22.2%
Tranmere
20.6%
Draw
57.2%
Doncaster
Expected Goals (xG)
1.17
Tranmere
vs
2.01
Doncaster
Markets
BTTS59.4%
Over 0.596.2%
Over 1.582.3%
Over 2.561.7%
Over 3.539.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-2
9.8%
1-1
9.4%
0-1
8.7%
0-2
8.4%
1-3
6.6%
2-2
5.8%
2-1
5.7%
0-3
5.6%
1-0
5.2%
2-3
3.9%
0-0
3.8%
1-4
3.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).