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19 Apr 2016

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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50.7%
Halifax
25.6%
Draw
23.7%
Eastleigh

Expected Goals (xG)

1.74

Halifax

vs
1.13

Eastleigh

Markets

BTTS56.6%
Over 0.593.3%
Over 1.578.8%
Over 2.554.5%
Over 3.532.2%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
12.1%
2-1
9.7%
1-0
9.0%
2-0
8.6%
0-0
6.7%
1-2
6.3%
3-1
5.6%
0-1
5.5%
2-2
5.5%
3-0
5.0%
0-2
3.6%
3-2
3.2%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).