Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →54.2%
Valladolid
23.9%
Draw
22.0%
Cultural Leonesa
Expected Goals (xG)
1.69
Valladolid
vs
0.98
Cultural Leonesa
Markets
BTTS51.0%
Over 0.593.2%
Over 1.574.6%
Over 2.550.1%
Over 3.528.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
11.8%
1-1
11.3%
2-0
9.9%
2-1
9.7%
0-1
6.9%
0-0
6.8%
1-2
5.6%
3-0
5.6%
3-1
5.5%
2-2
4.8%
0-2
3.3%
3-2
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).