Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →30.0%
Morecambe
27.9%
Draw
42.2%
Yeovil
Expected Goals (xG)
1.20
Morecambe
vs
1.46
Yeovil
Markets
BTTS54.6%
Over 0.591.9%
Over 1.575.3%
Over 2.549.5%
Over 3.527.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.3%
0-1
9.2%
1-2
8.9%
0-0
8.1%
0-2
7.5%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
7.3%
2-2
5.3%
2-0
5.0%
1-3
4.4%
0-3
3.6%
3-1
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).