Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →17.6%
Carlisle
19.6%
Draw
62.9%
Mansfield
Expected Goals (xG)
0.99
Carlisle
vs
2.08
Mansfield
Markets
BTTS54.7%
Over 0.595.8%
Over 1.580.8%
Over 2.559.4%
Over 3.537.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
10.0%
0-2
10.0%
1-2
9.9%
1-1
9.1%
0-3
6.9%
1-3
6.9%
1-0
5.0%
2-2
4.9%
2-1
4.7%
0-0
4.2%
0-4
3.6%
1-4
3.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).