Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →71.2%
St Pauli
18.9%
Draw
9.9%
Wurzburger Kickers
Expected Goals (xG)
2.30
St Pauli
vs
0.76
Wurzburger Kickers
Markets
BTTS48.7%
Over 0.594.5%
Over 1.581.7%
Over 2.559.0%
Over 3.536.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
12.4%
1-0
10.0%
3-0
9.5%
2-1
9.4%
1-1
9.0%
3-1
7.2%
0-0
5.5%
4-0
5.4%
4-1
4.2%
2-2
3.6%
1-2
3.1%
0-1
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).