Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →51.1%
Ath Bilbao
26.4%
Draw
22.5%
Mallorca
Expected Goals (xG)
1.55
Ath Bilbao
vs
0.94
Mallorca
Markets
BTTS48.5%
Over 0.591.3%
Over 1.571.6%
Over 2.545.5%
Over 3.524.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.5%
1-0
12.4%
2-0
9.9%
2-1
9.4%
0-0
8.7%
0-1
7.4%
1-2
5.7%
3-0
5.1%
3-1
4.8%
2-2
4.4%
0-2
3.7%
3-2
2.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).