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DHT: 00CSV

18 Feb 2018

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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83.6%
Celtic
11.5%
Draw
4.8%
St Johnstone

Expected Goals (xG)

2.93

Celtic

vs
0.62

St Johnstone

Markets

BTTS43.7%
Over 0.596.8%
Over 1.587.1%
Over 2.568.7%
Over 3.547.2%

Most Likely Scorelines

2-0
12.4%
3-0
12.1%
4-0
8.9%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
7.6%
3-1
7.4%
1-1
5.5%
4-1
5.4%
5-0
5.2%
5-1
3.2%
0-0
3.2%
2-2
2.3%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).