Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →7.3%
Montpellier
14.0%
Draw
78.7%
Paris SG
Expected Goals (xG)
0.62
Montpellier
vs
2.50
Paris SG
Markets
BTTS42.1%
Over 0.595.8%
Over 1.581.6%
Over 2.560.3%
Over 3.537.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-2
13.8%
0-3
11.5%
0-1
11.2%
1-2
8.5%
0-4
7.2%
1-3
7.1%
1-1
6.6%
1-4
4.5%
0-0
4.2%
0-5
3.6%
1-0
2.9%
2-2
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).