Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →23.5%
Dover Athletic
25.7%
Draw
50.8%
Torquay
Expected Goals (xG)
1.11
Dover Athletic
vs
1.73
Torquay
Markets
BTTS56.1%
Over 0.593.2%
Over 1.578.5%
Over 2.554.0%
Over 3.531.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.2%
1-2
9.7%
0-1
9.1%
0-2
8.7%
0-0
6.8%
2-1
6.2%
1-3
5.6%
1-0
5.6%
2-2
5.4%
0-3
5.0%
2-0
3.6%
2-3
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).