Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →34.4%
Mallorca
24.3%
Draw
41.3%
Almeria
Expected Goals (xG)
1.39
Mallorca
vs
1.54
Almeria
Markets
BTTS58.9%
Over 0.594.8%
Over 1.578.9%
Over 2.556.1%
Over 3.533.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.3%
1-2
8.8%
0-1
8.3%
2-1
7.9%
1-0
7.5%
0-2
6.3%
2-2
6.1%
0-0
5.2%
2-0
5.1%
1-3
4.5%
3-1
3.7%
0-3
3.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).