Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →33.6%
Empoli
30.8%
Draw
35.5%
Parma
Expected Goals (xG)
0.96
Empoli
vs
0.99
Parma
Markets
BTTS38.6%
Over 0.586.0%
Over 1.557.9%
Over 2.531.0%
Over 3.513.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
14.3%
0-0
14.0%
1-0
13.8%
1-1
13.3%
0-2
7.0%
1-2
6.7%
2-0
6.5%
2-1
6.5%
2-2
3.2%
0-3
2.3%
1-3
2.2%
3-0
2.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).