Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →57.4%
Rizespor
26.1%
Draw
16.5%
Karagumruk
Expected Goals (xG)
2.01
Rizespor
vs
1.04
Karagumruk
Markets
BTTS58.5%
Over 0.592.8%
Over 1.583.4%
Over 2.558.9%
Over 3.536.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.4%
2-1
9.9%
2-0
9.6%
0-0
7.2%
1-0
7.0%
3-1
6.7%
3-0
6.4%
2-2
5.2%
1-2
5.1%
3-2
3.5%
4-1
3.4%
4-0
3.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).