Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →31.4%
Bristol City
29.8%
Draw
38.8%
Millwall
Expected Goals (xG)
1.12
Bristol City
vs
1.27
Millwall
Markets
BTTS49.5%
Over 0.589.7%
Over 1.570.0%
Over 2.542.7%
Over 3.521.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.1%
0-1
10.6%
0-0
10.3%
1-0
9.2%
1-2
8.3%
0-2
7.4%
2-1
7.3%
2-0
5.7%
2-2
4.6%
1-3
3.5%
0-3
3.1%
3-1
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).