Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →37.3%
Swansea
27.9%
Draw
34.8%
Wrexham
Expected Goals (xG)
1.37
Swansea
vs
1.32
Wrexham
Markets
BTTS55.8%
Over 0.592.2%
Over 1.576.1%
Over 2.550.5%
Over 3.528.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.3%
2-1
8.4%
1-0
8.3%
1-2
8.1%
0-1
7.9%
0-0
7.8%
2-0
6.4%
0-2
5.9%
2-2
5.6%
3-1
3.9%
1-3
3.6%
3-0
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).