Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →22.9%
Deportivo Alavés
25.3%
Draw
51.7%
Villarreal
Expected Goals (xG)
0.99
Deportivo Alavés
vs
1.62
Villarreal
Markets
BTTS50.8%
Over 0.592.4%
Over 1.573.8%
Over 2.548.5%
Over 3.526.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.0%
0-1
11.6%
0-2
9.6%
1-2
9.6%
0-0
7.6%
1-0
7.0%
2-1
5.9%
0-3
5.2%
1-3
5.2%
2-2
4.7%
2-0
3.6%
2-3
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).