Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →51.1%
Preston
28.5%
Draw
20.4%
Barnsley
Expected Goals (xG)
1.47
Preston
vs
0.84
Barnsley
Markets
BTTS44.8%
Over 0.589.1%
Over 1.568.3%
Over 2.540.8%
Over 3.520.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
13.6%
1-1
13.3%
0-0
10.9%
2-0
10.8%
2-1
9.0%
0-1
7.3%
3-0
5.3%
1-2
5.1%
3-1
4.4%
2-2
3.8%
0-2
3.5%
4-0
1.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).