Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →34.6%
Brest
21.3%
Draw
44.1%
Marseille
Expected Goals (xG)
1.60
Brest
vs
1.83
Marseille
Markets
BTTS66.6%
Over 0.597.3%
Over 1.585.2%
Over 2.566.8%
Over 3.545.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
8.9%
1-2
8.7%
2-1
7.6%
2-2
7.0%
0-1
6.4%
1-0
5.7%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
5.3%
2-3
4.3%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
4.1%
3-2
3.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).