Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →32.5%
Morecambe
29.4%
Draw
38.1%
Brackley Town
Expected Goals (xG)
1.17
Morecambe
vs
1.29
Brackley Town
Markets
BTTS51.1%
Over 0.590.4%
Over 1.571.5%
Over 2.544.6%
Over 3.523.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.0%
0-1
9.9%
0-0
9.6%
1-0
8.9%
1-2
8.3%
2-1
7.6%
0-2
7.1%
2-0
5.9%
2-2
4.9%
1-3
3.6%
0-3
3.0%
3-1
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).