Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →45.4%
Burgos
29.2%
Draw
25.4%
Sociedad B
Expected Goals (xG)
1.23
Burgos
vs
0.84
Sociedad B
Markets
BTTS39.9%
Over 0.587.4%
Over 1.560.9%
Over 2.534.0%
Over 3.515.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
15.7%
1-1
12.9%
0-0
12.6%
0-1
10.8%
2-0
9.6%
2-1
8.0%
1-2
5.5%
0-2
4.4%
3-0
3.9%
2-2
3.3%
3-1
3.3%
1-3
1.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).