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DHT: 01CSV

28 Sept 2020 · 17:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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17.9%
Larisa
27.3%
Draw
54.7%
Panathinaikos

Expected Goals (xG)

0.81

Larisa

vs
1.58

Panathinaikos

Markets

BTTS45.1%
Over 0.589.7%
Over 1.570.0%
Over 2.542.8%
Over 3.521.9%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-1
13.4%
1-1
12.8%
0-2
11.5%
0-0
10.3%
1-2
9.3%
1-0
6.3%
0-3
6.1%
1-3
4.9%
2-1
4.7%
2-2
3.7%
2-0
3.0%
0-4
2.4%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).