Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →36.0%
Augsburg
32.6%
Draw
31.4%
Hamburg
Expected Goals (xG)
1.06
Augsburg
vs
0.97
Hamburg
Markets
BTTS41.5%
Over 0.585.8%
Over 1.561.1%
Over 2.533.1%
Over 3.514.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.5%
0-0
14.2%
1-0
12.9%
0-1
11.8%
2-0
7.4%
2-1
7.1%
1-2
6.6%
0-2
6.2%
2-2
3.5%
3-0
2.6%
3-1
2.5%
1-3
2.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).