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DHT: 11CSV

20 Mar 2022 · 15:15

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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29.3%
Pordenone
31.0%
Draw
39.7%
Brescia

Expected Goals (xG)

1.03

Pordenone

vs
1.24

Brescia

Markets

BTTS46.9%
Over 0.588.3%
Over 1.567.5%
Over 2.539.5%
Over 3.519.4%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
14.5%
0-0
11.7%
0-1
11.5%
1-0
9.4%
1-2
8.2%
0-2
7.9%
2-1
6.8%
2-0
5.5%
2-2
4.2%
1-3
3.4%
0-3
3.3%
3-1
2.3%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).