Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →10.6%
Belenenses
19.2%
Draw
70.3%
Sp Braga
Expected Goals (xG)
0.58
Belenenses
vs
1.94
Sp Braga
Markets
BTTS37.4%
Over 0.592.4%
Over 1.571.4%
Over 2.546.3%
Over 3.524.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
16.0%
0-2
15.1%
0-3
9.8%
1-2
8.8%
1-1
8.7%
0-0
7.6%
1-3
5.7%
1-0
5.1%
0-4
4.8%
1-4
2.8%
2-1
2.6%
2-2
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).