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27 Dec 2025 · 17:45

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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43.5%
Aberdeen
28.0%
Draw
28.5%
Dundee United

Expected Goals (xG)

1.40

Aberdeen

vs
1.09

Dundee United

Markets

BTTS50.6%
Over 0.591.0%
Over 1.571.7%
Over 2.545.3%
Over 3.524.0%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
13.3%
1-0
11.0%
0-0
9.0%
2-1
8.9%
0-1
8.4%
2-0
8.2%
1-2
6.9%
0-2
4.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-1
4.1%
3-0
3.8%
1-3
2.5%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).