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04 Oct 2025 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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37.7%
Preston
33.6%
Draw
28.7%
Charlton

Expected Goals (xG)

1.05

Preston

vs
0.88

Charlton

Markets

BTTS39.3%
Over 0.584.4%
Over 1.558.7%
Over 2.530.6%
Over 3.513.1%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-0
15.6%
1-1
14.5%
1-0
14.1%
0-1
11.6%
2-0
8.0%
2-1
7.1%
1-2
5.9%
0-2
5.6%
2-2
3.1%
3-0
2.8%
3-1
2.5%
1-3
1.7%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).