Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →49.5%
Sporting Gijón
27.5%
Draw
23.0%
Tenerife
Expected Goals (xG)
1.37
Sporting Gijón
vs
0.84
Tenerife
Markets
BTTS42.1%
Over 0.589.1%
Over 1.564.6%
Over 2.537.9%
Over 3.518.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
15.2%
1-1
12.5%
0-0
10.9%
2-0
10.3%
0-1
9.3%
2-1
8.6%
1-2
5.3%
3-0
4.7%
3-1
3.9%
0-2
3.9%
2-2
3.6%
3-2
1.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).