Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →53.1%
Betis
26.0%
Draw
20.9%
Vallecano
Expected Goals (xG)
1.59
Betis
vs
0.90
Vallecano
Markets
BTTS47.6%
Over 0.591.3%
Over 1.571.4%
Over 2.545.3%
Over 3.524.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
12.8%
1-1
12.3%
2-0
10.5%
2-1
9.4%
0-0
8.7%
0-1
7.1%
3-0
5.5%
1-2
5.3%
3-1
5.0%
2-2
4.2%
0-2
3.4%
3-2
2.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).