Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →68.4%
Porto
21.9%
Draw
9.7%
Famalicao
Expected Goals (xG)
1.68
Porto
vs
0.44
Famalicao
Markets
BTTS28.8%
Over 0.588.4%
Over 1.562.3%
Over 2.535.7%
Over 3.516.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
20.5%
2-0
16.9%
0-0
11.6%
3-0
9.4%
1-1
8.5%
2-1
7.5%
0-1
5.7%
3-1
4.2%
4-0
4.0%
1-2
2.0%
4-1
1.8%
2-2
1.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).