Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →36.9%
Le Havre
35.7%
Draw
27.5%
Le Mans
Expected Goals (xG)
0.79
Le Havre
vs
0.64
Le Mans
Markets
BTTS24.8%
Over 0.577.1%
Over 1.540.9%
Over 2.517.4%
Over 3.55.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-0
22.9%
1-0
20.0%
0-1
16.2%
1-1
11.1%
2-0
7.5%
0-2
4.8%
2-1
4.8%
1-2
3.8%
3-0
2.0%
2-2
1.5%
3-1
1.3%
0-3
1.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).