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20 Nov 2021 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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40.1%
Forfar
35.2%
Draw
24.7%
Cowdenbeath

Expected Goals (xG)

1.14

Forfar

vs
0.85

Cowdenbeath

Markets

BTTS41.3%
Over 0.584.0%
Over 1.561.6%
Over 2.532.1%
Over 3.514.1%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-0
16.0%
1-1
15.6%
1-0
13.2%
0-1
9.2%
2-0
8.9%
2-1
7.6%
1-2
5.6%
0-2
4.9%
3-0
3.4%
2-2
3.2%
3-1
2.9%
1-3
1.6%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).