Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →73.3%
Lorient
16.6%
Draw
10.1%
Ajaccio
Expected Goals (xG)
2.13
Lorient
vs
0.62
Ajaccio
Markets
BTTS39.8%
Over 0.594.3%
Over 1.575.3%
Over 2.551.8%
Over 3.529.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
14.6%
1-0
14.3%
3-0
10.4%
2-1
9.0%
1-1
7.7%
3-1
6.4%
0-0
5.7%
4-0
5.5%
0-1
4.6%
4-1
3.4%
2-2
2.8%
1-2
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).