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DHT: 11

26 Dec 2025 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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11.8%
Cercle Brugge
24.3%
Draw
63.9%
Union Berlin

Expected Goals (xG)

0.56

Cercle Brugge

vs
1.66

Union Berlin

Markets

BTTS35.3%
Over 0.588.8%
Over 1.565.6%
Over 2.538.5%
Over 3.518.6%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-1
17.5%
0-2
14.9%
0-0
11.2%
1-1
10.5%
1-2
8.4%
0-3
8.3%
1-0
5.7%
1-3
4.7%
0-4
3.4%
2-1
2.9%
2-2
2.4%
1-4
1.9%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).